Posts Tagged ‘Bobby Abreu’

These Are Your Hall of Fame Voters…

Friday, January 30th, 2009 by Nerdicus Finch

I was watching “Yankees Hot Stove” on the YES Network today (I think it was a repeat from sometime this week) and the topic of the suprising continuing free agency of certain players came up. One of the panelists, George King, the Yankee beat writer from the New York Post a Yankee beat writer from one of the New York papers (I forget his name, but it wasn’t Jack Curry of the New York Times, who was also on the panel) spoke about Bobby Abreu. He expressed how shocked he was that a player of Abreu’s caliber could not get a job and finished his comments by saying (I am paraphrasing): “I’d rather have Abreu than Manny Ramirez.”

This statement was not qualified by any mention of the relative costs of the two players, so I am pretty sure that he meant, if he could choose either player, regardless of cost, that he would rather have Abreu on his team than Manny Ramirez. Both are horrible defenders, so the comparison should be based purely on the offensive value of the two players. And, as I Love Nerd York City noted in a recent post, Ramirez absolutely destroyed the ball in 2008, which was apparently also the season in which he gave up on his teammates and cemented his “bad teammate” reputation. Specifically, Ramirez posted a 1.031 OPS in 2008, as compared to Abreu’s respectable, but unspectacular, .842.

This is just another example of Ramirez’s “bad teammate” label making the mainstream sports media forget that they are talking about one of the greatest hitters of all time. And these are the people who vote for the Hall of Fame and MVP awards. No wonder they so often get it wrong (Jim Rice, Tim Raines, and the frightening number of votes for Jack Morris, to name a few).

Dunn-derheaded General Managers

Thursday, January 29th, 2009 by Nerdicus Finch

The continuing free agency of Adam Dunn is perplexing. ESPN.com’s Buster Olney is reporting that Dunn may have to settle for a one-year deal for 2009. Let’s take a step back: a 28-year-old left fielder with no injury risk, who hit exactly 40 home runs in each of the last four seasons, and owns a career OPS of 899, may have to settle for a one-year deal. Tough economic times notwithstanding, this is crazy.

To help illustrate just how crazy this is, here are the details on some recent contracts signed by other corner outfielders who have similar offensive (lots) and defensive (not much) value as Dunn. It is important to note that these contracts were all signed prior to the current economic crisis, but even that does not explain the chopped-liver treatment that Dunn is getting this off-season.

In 2005, J. D. Drew, a right fielder, signed a 5 year/$55M deal with the Dodgers at age 29. After the 2006 season, Drew opted out of that deal and signed a 5 year/$70M deal with the Red Sox. Drew’s career OPS? 893. Granted, Drew is a defensive upgrade over Dunn, but he’s also an incredible injury risk (he missed 53 games in 2008), while Dunn routinely plays over 150 games each year (from 2004-2006, he played at least 160).

In 2005, Magglio Ordonez, another oft-injured, but great hitting, right fielder, signed a 5 year/$75M deal with the Tigers at age 31. Ordonez’s career OPS? 890.

In 2003, Bobby Abreu, a right fielder, signed a 5 year/$64M deal with the Phillies at age 29. Recent reporting on ESPN.com has indicated that Abreu is one of the worst defensive outfielders in the game. His career OPS? 902.

If we want to look to the future, Jason Bay, a left fielder, will be a free agent after the 2009 season, when he will be 31. Bay’s career OPS? 891. Any chance Bay will have to settle for a one-year contract next year?

What all of these comparisons tell us is that Dunn is not getting a fair shake this off-season and is incredibly undervalued by GMs throughout MLB. Most likely, the state of rational thinking in MLB is more to blame than the state of the economy. Here’s the proof: just last month, Raul Ibanez signed a 3 year/$31.5M deal with the Phillies. Yes, that Raul Ibanez. The 36-year-old left fielder with the 818 career OPS. The amazing thing about this deal is that the Phillies actually took a look at the free agent field and chose to fill their left field hole with Ibanez rather than Dunn. In looking ahead to defending their World Series championship, the Phillies consciously opted for the worse player.

Why the lack of love for Dunn? I don’t know. It could be J.P. Ricciardi’s nonsense comments about Dunn a couple of years ago or just the unwillingness of MLB GMs to understand that a one-dimensional player is supremely valuable if his one dimension consists of hitting home runs and getting on base. Either way, Dunn is getting screwed.

If I were a GM, I’d love to have 9 Adam Dunns in my lineup (in the AL, I don’t want Dunn pitching). Clogged bases lead to a hell of a lot of runs.